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UPDATED True JP

Japanese Stocks Surge as Takaichi Wins Party Leadership Amid Coalition Crisis

Japanese Stocks Rally on Takaichi Leadership Win

Sanae Takaichi was elected leader of Japan's ruling party on October 4, triggering a stock rally. However, coalition partner Komeito quit October 10, creating political uncertainty about her path to becoming prime minister.

  • Takaichi elected LDP leader October 4 2025
  • Nikkei 225 jumped 4.8 percent on Monday
  • Japanese yen weakened past 150 per dollar
  • Brokerages raised year end targets 10 percent
  • Komeito quit ruling coalition October 10 2025
  • Political uncertainty clouds premiership path
  • Parliamentary vote scheduled for mid October
  • Takaichi needs majority to become prime minister

Sanae Takaichi was elected leader of Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party on October 4, 2025, triggering a dramatic rally in Japanese stocks. The Nikkei 225 index surged 4.8 percent on October 6, while the yen weakened past 150 to the dollar [1][2]. However, her path to becoming Japan’s first female prime minister faces significant uncertainty after the coalition partner Komeito withdrew on October 10 [3].

Market Reaction to Party Leadership

Japanese stock markets responded enthusiastically to Takaichi’s election as LDP leader. The Nikkei 225 jumped 4.8 percent and the broader Topix index rose 3.1 percent on Monday, October 6, with the Nikkei briefly surpassing 46,000 points [1][4]. Major brokerages including Nomura Securities and Daiwa Securities raised their year end targets for the index by at least 10 percent [5].

Currency and Sector Movements

The Japanese yen weakened sharply, falling past 150 against the US dollar and declining against the euro [2][4]. Key gainers included technology stocks, consumer discretionary companies, heavy machinery manufacturers, and real estate sectors. The weaker yen is expected to boost export competitiveness but may increase inflationary pressures [6].

Takaichi’s Economic Policy Agenda

Takaichi is considered a fiscal dove who advocates pro spending economic policies reminiscent of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, under whom she served. Her proposed agenda includes increased government subsidies for local governments, eliminating extra gasoline taxes, and reducing diesel fuel costs [7][8]. She has pledged to maintain low interest rates and opposes immediate rate hikes by the Bank of Japan.

Key Policy Priorities

  • Increased government spending to stimulate economic growth
  • Support for manufacturing sectors and food security
  • Investments in artificial intelligence and nuclear energy technology
  • Maintaining accommodative monetary policy and low borrowing costs

Political Uncertainty Clouds Leadership Path

Takaichi’s bid to become prime minister became complicated on October 10 when Komeito, the junior coalition partner, announced its withdrawal from the 26 year alliance with the LDP [3][9]. Komeito leader Tetsuo Saito cited inadequate response to a political funding scandal that has plagued the ruling party. The party confirmed it would not support Takaichi in the parliamentary vote scheduled for mid October.

If the three major opposition parties unite behind a single candidate, their combined votes could exceed LDP seats in the lower house, potentially blocking Takaichi’s premiership [9][10]. A parliamentary confirmation vote is expected around October 15, where Takaichi will need to secure a simple majority to become Japan’s first female prime minister.

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Editorial Timeline

Revisions
— by Elena Voren
Add SEO improvements
— by Nodin Laramie
  1. Corrected Nikkei 225 peak to 46,000 points (not 47,000)
  2. Updated title to reflect coalition crisis developments
  3. Added Oct 10 Komeito withdrawal information
  4. Revised political status from confirmed to uncertain
  5. Updated all FAQs to reflect current situation
  6. Replaced outdated secondary sources with Oct 8-12 sources
  7. Added parliamentary vote timeline details
  8. Clarified Takaichi is party leader, not yet PM
— by Kamar Mahmoud
Added new relevant secondary sources
— by Kamar Mahmoud
Initial publication.

Correction Record

Accountability
— by Nodin Laramie
  1. Nikkei 225 peak corrected from 47,000 to 46,000 points
  2. Title corrected to reflect party leadership not PM status
  3. Removed premature claim of first female PM confirmation
  4. Added critical Oct 10 Komeito withdrawal development
  5. Corrected political status from certain to uncertain
  6. Updated secondary sources to Oct 8-12 2025 period
  7. Corrected market percentage figures to 4.8 percent
— by Kamar Mahmoud
  1. - Organized content with clear headings and subheadings.
  2. - Shortened paragraphs for concise, direct information delivery.
  3. - Focused on accurate data and recent market figures.
  4. - Emphasized key sectors and currency impacts succinctly.
  5. - Highlighted Takaichi’s main economic policies clearly.
  6. - Included political context relevant to market movements.
  7. - Integrated global market backdrop for broader perspective.
  8. - Added research references to support factual accuracy.
  9. - Removed extraneous or redundant details for clarity.
  10. - Improved logical flow and reader accessibility overall.

FAQ

How did Japanese markets react to Takaichi's election as LDP leader?

The Nikkei 225 jumped 4.8 percent and briefly surpassed 46,000 points on October 6. The yen weakened past 150 to the dollar. Major brokerages raised year end targets by 10 percent.

Why did coalition partner Komeito withdraw from the ruling alliance?

Komeito cited the LDP's inadequate response to a political funding scandal affecting the party for two years. The party confirmed it would not support Takaichi in the parliamentary vote.

What are Takaichi's main economic policies?

Takaichi advocates increased government spending, support for manufacturing and food security, investments in artificial intelligence and nuclear energy, and maintaining low interest rates. Her policies align with former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's approach.